[Upstream and downstream of China's instrumentation network industry] In terms of the consumer Internet of Things, the industrial Internet of Things pays more attention to value economy. The data shows that in the Silicon Valley of the United States, B2B investment accounts for 40% of the total investment; in Israel, this figure is 70%; in China, this figure is only a poor 2%. It can be seen that the potential for the development of China's industrial Internet of things is seriously underestimated.
The market scale of the trillion-dollar industrial Internet of Things has become a consensus. However, those who can seize these opportunities are those who want to penetrate the trend of the next three to five years and are ready for the moment. These people are often very few.
The US information consulting company Gartner just released its 2015 top ten strategic information technology forecast. It has been doing this forecast for many years. Although the predictions are true or false, this prediction is very instructive, especially for strategic thinking that stimulates decision-making leaders. By the way, another of Gartner's more familiar projects is the "magic quadrant," which compares all vendors or operators on a particular technology. This quadrant is also controversial, but many decision makers are willing to use this "magic quadrant" as a reference.
Most of the top ten strategic information technology forecasts this year are related to the Internet of Things. And their core lies in digitization and intelligence. Popularly, some of the techniques from science fiction movies have gradually become reality. Note that these forecasting strategies are worth more than the execution value. Especially for quantitative predictions, this is an estimate of the trend.
We use these ten predictions to explore how to think about the strategic direction of a company.
By 2018, 20% of commercial content will be written by machines. This proposition is explosive. In the stochastic theory, the classic story "A sufficient number of monkeys can be written as a Shakespeare" seems to be achieved. The first thing that will be implemented is the content of narratives. There are already companies like Narrative Science who are experimenting with automatically generating reviews of a sports game, passing players, scoring, scoring errors and other specific data. In business operations, these news can be produced on a continuous basis, especially with some normative results (the number of products reaches a certain target, the first time the products are sold to Africa, etc.) and you need to set some “stimulus pointsâ€. Soon, Twitter generated by the machine will be the norm. This prediction, and many of the following predictions, all involve people's replacement. The development of technology, people's substitution is the inevitable way. NetApp founder David Hitz suggested that one day, people will be a "pet" for robots. So this trend is more social than economic.
By 2018, 6 billion smart devices will join the Internet of Things, and these smart objects need technical support. All kinds of smart sensors and smart devices will be networked and these things themselves also need to be maintained. It is estimated that there will be a brand-new industry. We can call it "the third-party intelligent entity maintenance company." The original product supplier will of course provide maintenance, but due to the large number, maintenance by a new maintenance company may be more effective. Just like ordinary products, there may be original factory maintenance or third-party maintenance. This sector will continue to be subdivided and there may be specialized maintenance of one industry (vertical business) or one type of sensor (transverse business).
By 2020, 5% of commercial transactions will be automated by software. Commercial transactions that do not require human intervention. Some people have come up with bold speculations. Will stock traders become victims of super artificial intelligence?
By 2018, there will be more than three million employees whose boss is a robot. Some people think that this concept will first appear in the enterprise operation department. why? Because the operating department is a more standard operating mechanism. It follows the operating procedure. For example, for a highly automated and Internet of things workshop, because the Internet of Things has already collected all the time data, how many workers, how many products are needed, and how to solve problems in the first line, there will be a complete set of A step of. These instructions can be issued by the robot. There are standard procedures for the workers to take leave, drop in product yields, etc. The robot boss will adjust the scope of work of the workers according to the situation and issue instructions. And this robot boss will be more standardized and effective than people (he can issue instructions at the same time that all employees go to the meeting).
By 2018, 20% of smart buildings will be digitally attacked. The Internet of Things is a further advancement of a civilized society. From the early days of navigation to highways, to the Internet at the beginning of this century and today’s Internet of Things, every time such a civilization has narrowed the distance of the global village. This is an open process and the side effect is "virus." The security of the Internet of Things is an inevitable by-product. Different from the Internet's security issues, the security of the Internet of Things is not only data security but also "material" security. Your network firewall should not only protect the network, but also have enough intelligence to provide protection for your garage door. Will these protections be defined in terms of the scope of company homes (one-dimensional) as in today's Internet? Not necessarily, there can be multi-dimensional, corporate or home environments are one-dimensional, plus the smart building business IoT. Some people think that other intelligent internet of things will also be attacked, not only smart buildings.
By 2018, 50% of the best companies have fewer employees than smart machines. Tomorrow's company, when recruiting people, may have a choice of robots. Some people think that this "robot" can be an "abstract robot" and not necessarily a real robot. It may be a highly automated program or project (software automation). So when you are thinking about buying robots for a shop floor transformation, it is advisable to consider reassessing the production process and whether there is an “abstract robot†service opportunity.
By 2018, the customer service department's application system will comprehensively recognize each customer's face and voice. This is a sign of achieving unity and personalization. The Internet of Things has enabled the two to achieve harmony from the original contradictory opposition. Recognizing face and voice is a revolutionary technology. Although the theory is mature, there are still many difficulties in implementation, and the error rate is high. What needs to be recognized is that once the voice face recognition system enters the mainstream, not only customer services will benefit, but there will also be a qualitative change in network security and security. Some people estimate that the traditional AAA industry (Authentication, Authorization and Accounting) will be subverted and realize a truly comprehensive SSO (Single Sign On).
By 2018, two million employees will wear smart health bracelets or similar health equipment. Due to the popularity of the Internet of Things, healthy wearable products will be defined as “requisites for workâ€, especially in industries where health conditions will affect benefits and other safety (eg bus drivers). This will involve personal privacy. Here is the core of the Internet of Things. It is a network of things that connects things, people and data. This prediction is linked to the robot boss's prediction. The employee's health data can be used as a reference factor in the work arrangement.
By 2020, 40% of mobile applications will be automatically formed and no longer need to be downloaded. Most people do not think this is a revolutionary topic, whether it is achieved or not.
By 2020, 95% of cloud security incidents will be caused by customer errors. The reverse of this proposition means that cyber security will become more mature. Today's Internet of Things, security is a major development direction. I believe that for five years, this topic is no longer an important area.
The market scale of the trillion-dollar industrial Internet of Things has become a consensus. However, those who can seize these opportunities are those who want to penetrate the trend of the next three to five years and are ready for the moment. These people are often very few.
The US information consulting company Gartner just released its 2015 top ten strategic information technology forecast. It has been doing this forecast for many years. Although the predictions are true or false, this prediction is very instructive, especially for strategic thinking that stimulates decision-making leaders. By the way, another of Gartner's more familiar projects is the "magic quadrant," which compares all vendors or operators on a particular technology. This quadrant is also controversial, but many decision makers are willing to use this "magic quadrant" as a reference.
Most of the top ten strategic information technology forecasts this year are related to the Internet of Things. And their core lies in digitization and intelligence. Popularly, some of the techniques from science fiction movies have gradually become reality. Note that these forecasting strategies are worth more than the execution value. Especially for quantitative predictions, this is an estimate of the trend.
We use these ten predictions to explore how to think about the strategic direction of a company.
By 2018, 20% of commercial content will be written by machines. This proposition is explosive. In the stochastic theory, the classic story "A sufficient number of monkeys can be written as a Shakespeare" seems to be achieved. The first thing that will be implemented is the content of narratives. There are already companies like Narrative Science who are experimenting with automatically generating reviews of a sports game, passing players, scoring, scoring errors and other specific data. In business operations, these news can be produced on a continuous basis, especially with some normative results (the number of products reaches a certain target, the first time the products are sold to Africa, etc.) and you need to set some “stimulus pointsâ€. Soon, Twitter generated by the machine will be the norm. This prediction, and many of the following predictions, all involve people's replacement. The development of technology, people's substitution is the inevitable way. NetApp founder David Hitz suggested that one day, people will be a "pet" for robots. So this trend is more social than economic.
By 2018, 6 billion smart devices will join the Internet of Things, and these smart objects need technical support. All kinds of smart sensors and smart devices will be networked and these things themselves also need to be maintained. It is estimated that there will be a brand-new industry. We can call it "the third-party intelligent entity maintenance company." The original product supplier will of course provide maintenance, but due to the large number, maintenance by a new maintenance company may be more effective. Just like ordinary products, there may be original factory maintenance or third-party maintenance. This sector will continue to be subdivided and there may be specialized maintenance of one industry (vertical business) or one type of sensor (transverse business).
By 2020, 5% of commercial transactions will be automated by software. Commercial transactions that do not require human intervention. Some people have come up with bold speculations. Will stock traders become victims of super artificial intelligence?
By 2018, there will be more than three million employees whose boss is a robot. Some people think that this concept will first appear in the enterprise operation department. why? Because the operating department is a more standard operating mechanism. It follows the operating procedure. For example, for a highly automated and Internet of things workshop, because the Internet of Things has already collected all the time data, how many workers, how many products are needed, and how to solve problems in the first line, there will be a complete set of A step of. These instructions can be issued by the robot. There are standard procedures for the workers to take leave, drop in product yields, etc. The robot boss will adjust the scope of work of the workers according to the situation and issue instructions. And this robot boss will be more standardized and effective than people (he can issue instructions at the same time that all employees go to the meeting).
By 2018, 20% of smart buildings will be digitally attacked. The Internet of Things is a further advancement of a civilized society. From the early days of navigation to highways, to the Internet at the beginning of this century and today’s Internet of Things, every time such a civilization has narrowed the distance of the global village. This is an open process and the side effect is "virus." The security of the Internet of Things is an inevitable by-product. Different from the Internet's security issues, the security of the Internet of Things is not only data security but also "material" security. Your network firewall should not only protect the network, but also have enough intelligence to provide protection for your garage door. Will these protections be defined in terms of the scope of company homes (one-dimensional) as in today's Internet? Not necessarily, there can be multi-dimensional, corporate or home environments are one-dimensional, plus the smart building business IoT. Some people think that other intelligent internet of things will also be attacked, not only smart buildings.
By 2018, 50% of the best companies have fewer employees than smart machines. Tomorrow's company, when recruiting people, may have a choice of robots. Some people think that this "robot" can be an "abstract robot" and not necessarily a real robot. It may be a highly automated program or project (software automation). So when you are thinking about buying robots for a shop floor transformation, it is advisable to consider reassessing the production process and whether there is an “abstract robot†service opportunity.
By 2018, the customer service department's application system will comprehensively recognize each customer's face and voice. This is a sign of achieving unity and personalization. The Internet of Things has enabled the two to achieve harmony from the original contradictory opposition. Recognizing face and voice is a revolutionary technology. Although the theory is mature, there are still many difficulties in implementation, and the error rate is high. What needs to be recognized is that once the voice face recognition system enters the mainstream, not only customer services will benefit, but there will also be a qualitative change in network security and security. Some people estimate that the traditional AAA industry (Authentication, Authorization and Accounting) will be subverted and realize a truly comprehensive SSO (Single Sign On).
By 2018, two million employees will wear smart health bracelets or similar health equipment. Due to the popularity of the Internet of Things, healthy wearable products will be defined as “requisites for workâ€, especially in industries where health conditions will affect benefits and other safety (eg bus drivers). This will involve personal privacy. Here is the core of the Internet of Things. It is a network of things that connects things, people and data. This prediction is linked to the robot boss's prediction. The employee's health data can be used as a reference factor in the work arrangement.
By 2020, 40% of mobile applications will be automatically formed and no longer need to be downloaded. Most people do not think this is a revolutionary topic, whether it is achieved or not.
By 2020, 95% of cloud security incidents will be caused by customer errors. The reverse of this proposition means that cyber security will become more mature. Today's Internet of Things, security is a major development direction. I believe that for five years, this topic is no longer an important area.
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